Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Mercer 37.5% (+21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 75.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Dvorak
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Mercer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
35.4% (548)
+20.3%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
42.9% (35)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
0.0% (7)
+57.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
59.0% (432)
39.9% (283)
Away
54.8% (535)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
58.7%
37.7%
P2
53.9%
32.1%
P3
57.2%
37.7%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |