Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Mercer 46.3% (+12.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 74.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 72.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Dvorak
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
43.6% (241)
+13.4%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
50.0% (14)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
70.0% (10)
-20.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
58.3% (151)
41.7% (120)
Away
57.4% (190)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
56.7%
44.6%
P2
56.7%
45.4%
P3
59.6%
45.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%