Christian Dvorak vs Dawson Mercer

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Christian Dvorak holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 53.1% vs Mercer 39.9% (+13.9%)
H2H factor Dvorak leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone Dvorak 65.0%
Defensive zone Dvorak 90.5%
Neutral zone Dvorak 82.3%
Result Christian Dvorak favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Dvorak Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 6 (15 meetings)
9
6
Dvorak Mercer
Last 10: Dvorak 8-2 Mercer

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
5
Dvorak Mercer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak Mercer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak Mercer
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
39.1% (1,412)
+13.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
41.1% (90)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
40.0% (45)
+11.0%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Dvorak is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dvorak shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Mercer
Home
54.7% (4,115)
40.0% (755)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Dvorak
Mercer
P1
54.5%
38.2%
P2
51.8%
39.2%
P3
53.0%
41.1%
OT
56.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%
52.0%
53.1%
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 29, 2025 2 00:53 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Nov 22, 2025 3 09:42 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 22, 2025 1 03:37 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Nov 22, 2025 1 03:21 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Nov 22, 2025 1 00:32 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Feb 8, 2025 1 17:58 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Jan 25, 2025 OT 01:51 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Jan 25, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Jan 25, 2025 3 18:21 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Jan 25, 2025 3 18:10 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Jan 25, 2025 3 14:11 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Jan 25, 2025 3 10:40 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Jan 25, 2025 2 09:28 Offensive Dawson Mercer
Mar 27, 2022 1 13:52 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Mar 27, 2022 1 11:11 Defensive Dawson Mercer