Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.3% vs Staal 56.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Dvorak
Staal
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (943)
55.9% (1,016)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.6% (122)
68.0% (150)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
50.6% (172)
+2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
53.9% (523)
57.2% (684)
Away
49.2% (616)
56.0% (654)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
56.7%
53.0%
P2
50.0%
58.2%
P3
46.7%
58.9%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |