Christian Dvorak vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 45-35 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 65.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 66.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
45
(80 meetings)
35
45
Dvorak
Staal
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
13
13
Dvorak
Staal
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
11
16
Dvorak
Staal
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
11
16
Dvorak
Staal
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
55.9% (14,620)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
48.0% (2,896)
+3.0%
On power play, Staal has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
54.7% (4,115)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
54.5%
55.2%
P2
51.8%
55.9%
P3
53.0%
54.9%
OT
56.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 04:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |