Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 57.3%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dvorak
Staal
Last 9: Dvorak 2-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Dvorak
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Dvorak
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Dvorak
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
53.4% (73)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
49.1% (171)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
59.0% (432)
59.0% (578)
Away
54.8% (535)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
58.7%
57.1%
P2
53.9%
60.9%
P3
57.2%
55.8%
OT
70.6%
20.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |