Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 69.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Dvorak
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Dvorak
Staal
Last 10: Dvorak 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Dvorak
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Dvorak
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
56.3% (1,115)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
61.2% (67)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
52.1% (292)
+1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Staal
Home
54.1% (423)
58.3% (705)
Away
50.2% (494)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Dvorak
Staal
P1
51.4%
54.5%
P2
52.0%
58.2%
P3
52.4%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |