Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Hayes 49.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 58.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Dvorak
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Dvorak
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
48.5% (557)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
53.3% (107)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
58.3% (12)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hayes
Home
54.1% (423)
50.8% (313)
Away
50.2% (494)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Dvorak
Hayes
P1
51.4%
52.3%
P2
52.0%
47.7%
P3
52.4%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |