Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+17.4%)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Dvorak
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
31.9% (91)
+21.8%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
64.3% (14)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hayes
Home
53.6% (461)
30.6% (49)
Away
52.9% (507)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Dvorak
Hayes
P1
54.1%
22.9%
P2
52.9%
40.0%
P3
53.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%