Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Hayes 51.7% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Dvorak
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
51.6% (386)
+4.8%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
53.2% (47)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
60.0% (20)
-9.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hayes
Home
55.1% (501)
50.5% (200)
Away
56.4% (559)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Dvorak
Hayes
P1
55.8%
58.8%
P2
52.5%
49.3%
P3
58.2%
48.0%
OT
63.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
55.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%