Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Eller 49.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 54.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Eller
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Dvorak
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.1% (786)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
45.0% (80)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
43.6% (165)
+13.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
59.0% (432)
51.2% (510)
Away
54.8% (535)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
58.7%
50.7%
P2
53.9%
49.0%
P3
57.2%
48.3%
OT
70.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |