Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Eller 53.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 65.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 56.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dvorak
Eller
Last 8: Dvorak 3-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Dvorak
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
53.8% (865)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
57.1% (21)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
52.6% (137)
+0.9%
On power play, Eller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
54.1% (423)
56.4% (486)
Away
50.2% (494)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
51.4%
55.1%
P2
52.0%
55.3%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
OT
60.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |