Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 61.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 57.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Dvorak
Eller
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
17
9
Dvorak
Eller
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
9
Dvorak
Eller
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Dvorak
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
51.1% (10,296)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
52.8% (621)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
46.7% (1,751)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
54.7% (4,115)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
54.5%
51.2%
P2
51.8%
50.1%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
OT
56.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |