Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Eller 51.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 63.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dvorak
Eller
Last 8: Dvorak 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
52.8% (650)
+3.6%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
69.2% (13)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
45.5% (88)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
55.1% (501)
52.6% (340)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
55.8%
52.4%
P2
52.5%
54.1%
P3
58.2%
50.0%
OT
63.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |