Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Roy 46.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 53.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dvorak
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Dvorak
Roy
Last 10: Dvorak 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
5
Dvorak
Roy
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Dvorak
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
41.5% (275)
+10.6%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
81.8% (11)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
61.3% (31)
-13.1%
On power play, Roy has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. Roy is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Roy
Home
55.0% (516)
46.1% (167)
Away
49.3% (546)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Dvorak
Roy
P1
54.9%
46.7%
P2
51.1%
38.5%
P3
51.0%
50.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |