Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Roy 47.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 67.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Dvorak
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
48.6% (679)
+7.8%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
48.0% (50)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
34.7% (49)
+15.9%
On power play, Dvorak has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Dvorak shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Roy
Home
55.1% (501)
49.3% (345)
Away
56.4% (559)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Dvorak
Roy
P1
55.8%
47.6%
P2
52.5%
47.1%
P3
58.2%
47.9%
OT
63.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |