Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Roy 48.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 57.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Dvorak
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dvorak
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dvorak
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Dvorak
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
48.3% (633)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
52.1% (48)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
43.7% (87)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Roy
Home
54.1% (423)
50.8% (376)
Away
50.2% (494)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Dvorak
Roy
P1
51.4%
53.8%
P2
52.0%
43.5%
P3
52.4%
46.4%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |