Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Roy 48.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 57.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Dvorak
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dvorak
Roy
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
3
Dvorak
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
49.5% (746)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
50.7% (75)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
42.7% (110)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Roy
Home
59.0% (432)
47.7% (491)
Away
54.8% (535)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Dvorak
Roy
P1
58.7%
51.1%
P2
53.9%
44.6%
P3
57.2%
50.9%
OT
70.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |