Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 47.1% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Dvorak 83.9%
Defensive zone Dvorak 88.9%
Neutral zone Dvorak 85.1%
Result Christian Dvorak favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Dvorak O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 8 (9 meetings)
1
8
Dvorak O'Reilly
Last 9: Dvorak 1-8 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Dvorak O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Dvorak O'Reilly
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
57.9% (1,179)
-11.0%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
63.0% (292)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
53.8% (320)
-13.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (526)
61.3% (884)
Away
46.0% (480)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
48.0%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
61.0%
P3
46.2%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
67.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
55.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%
52.0%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%
55.5%
58.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 2, 2017 3 09:08 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Mar 2, 2017 2 01:37 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 2, 2017 1 07:10 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 3 09:36 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 2 17:54 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 2 00:45 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 2 00:32 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 1 10:10 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly
Feb 26, 2017 1 06:14 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly