Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 62 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 99-65 in 164 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 75.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 74.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
99
(164 meetings)
65
99
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
22
40
Dvorak
O'Reilly
62 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
21
38
Dvorak
O'Reilly
59 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
22
21
Dvorak
O'Reilly
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
51.4% (2,811)
-0.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
54.7% (4,115)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
51.8%
57.0%
P3
53.0%
55.1%
OT
56.9%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |