Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.7%). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 76.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
56.2% (983)
+0.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
55.5% (254)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
52.0% (102)
-1.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
55.1% (501)
56.2% (697)
Away
56.4% (559)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
55.8%
54.5%
P2
52.5%
55.5%
P3
58.2%
57.1%
OT
63.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |