Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
55.0% (1,084)
+2.0%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
56.8% (303)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.3% (149)
+9.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (151)
54.8% (759)
Away
57.4% (190)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
56.7%
55.3%
P2
56.7%
51.9%
P3
59.6%
54.2%
OT
60.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
61.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |