Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
0
Dvorak
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Dvorak
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
56.1% (690)
-3.9%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
64.6% (96)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
45.9% (109)
+7.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
54.1% (423)
58.3% (408)
Away
50.2% (494)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
51.4%
57.7%
P2
52.0%
54.8%
P3
52.4%
55.2%
OT
60.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |