Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 59.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
57.1% (1,367)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
59.4% (286)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
52.5% (257)
-52.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +52.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
56.5% (138)
59.2% (936)
Away
53.4% (88)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
56.5%
57.3%
P2
57.6%
57.5%
P3
52.1%
55.0%
OT
0.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |