Christian Dvorak vs Ryan O'Reilly
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 57-35 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 90.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 78.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 79.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
57
(92 meetings)
35
57
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
24
Dvorak
O'Reilly
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
10
19
Dvorak
O'Reilly
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
14
Dvorak
O'Reilly
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
58.6% (841)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
59.9% (207)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
58.1% (148)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dvorak is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (835).
Dvorak shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Dvorak
O'Reilly
Home
55.0% (516)
59.8% (594)
Away
49.3% (546)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Dvorak
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
61.7%
P2
51.1%
56.2%
P3
51.0%
59.5%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |