Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 72.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 72.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
50.8% (370)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
44.1% (127)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
53.1% (341)
52.8% (269)
Away
54.3% (361)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
52.8%
53.2%
P2
53.4%
45.8%
P3
55.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |