Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
49.2% (901)
+3.0%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
68.2% (22)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
49.8% (219)
+3.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
54.1% (423)
51.7% (603)
Away
50.2% (494)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
52.0%
49.5%
P3
52.4%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |