Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dvorak
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Dvorak
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
49.4% (445)
+7.6%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
100.0% (3)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
41.9% (117)
+8.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
58.3% (151)
49.2% (248)
Away
57.4% (190)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
56.7%
48.3%
P2
56.7%
44.7%
P3
59.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
61.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |