Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.8%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
51.8% (444)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
45.3% (150)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
53.6% (461)
54.6% (304)
Away
52.9% (507)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
55.2%
P2
52.9%
45.7%
P3
53.8%
49.5%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |