Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 50.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Dvorak
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Kuraly
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
55.3% (515)
+1.1%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
55.6% (9)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
44.8% (58)
+5.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Kuraly
Home
55.1% (501)
57.3% (293)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Dvorak
Kuraly
P1
55.8%
53.8%
P2
52.5%
51.5%
P3
58.2%
57.6%
OT
63.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |