Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Dvorak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
49.1% (731)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
54.3% (81)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
48.2% (85)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gourde
Home
59.0% (432)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.8% (535)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Dvorak
Gourde
P1
58.7%
51.2%
P2
53.9%
49.8%
P3
57.2%
47.5%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |