Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 81.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 66.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Dvorak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dvorak
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
51.2% (469)
+5.2%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
42.9% (21)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
37.5% (48)
+13.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gourde
Home
55.1% (501)
47.8% (301)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Dvorak
Gourde
P1
55.8%
47.3%
P2
52.5%
53.4%
P3
58.2%
48.6%
OT
63.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |