Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 64.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dvorak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dvorak
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
49.1% (847)
+3.1%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
79.5% (44)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
39.5% (81)
+14.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gourde
Home
54.1% (423)
50.1% (491)
Away
50.2% (494)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Dvorak
Gourde
P1
51.4%
54.7%
P2
52.0%
45.0%
P3
52.4%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |