Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dvorak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dvorak
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
48.0% (914)
+9.0%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
54.2% (48)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Gourde
Home
58.3% (151)
50.2% (512)
Away
57.4% (190)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Dvorak
Gourde
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
56.7%
45.3%
P3
59.6%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |