Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.3% vs 58.3%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 71.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
11
Giroux
Tavares
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
12
3
Giroux
Tavares
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
57.5% (914)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
60.5% (309)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
59.1% (22)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
59.5% (580)
61.0% (661)
Away
57.3% (641)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
56.6%
58.6%
P2
58.0%
57.8%
P3
60.8%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
64.7%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |