Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 73.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 9-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Giroux
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
8
1
Giroux
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
59.2% (1,035)
-3.7%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
60.0% (310)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
42.9% (7)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
59.0% (576)
57.5% (668)
Away
56.9% (576)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
57.0%
58.0%
P2
58.1%
60.1%
P3
58.9%
61.0%
OT
52.9%
27.8%
Final 5 min
61.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |