Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Giroux
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
2
Giroux
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
57.7% (998)
+1.9%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
60.5% (271)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
56.4% (39)
+5.0%
On power play, Giroux has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
65.7% (461)
59.7% (610)
Away
57.7% (515)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
60.7%
57.2%
P2
63.7%
58.5%
P3
60.2%
59.4%
OT
46.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
63.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |