Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 60.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 86.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 50.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Giroux
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Giroux
Tavares
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Giroux
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
10
1
Giroux
Tavares
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Giroux
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
58.0% (914)
+2.3%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
57.0% (235)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
57.9% (19)
+7.5%
On power play, Giroux has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Giroux
Tavares
Home
65.9% (337)
57.8% (614)
Away
59.1% (318)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Giroux
Tavares
P1
62.1%
58.0%
P2
64.5%
56.9%
P3
60.9%
58.4%
OT
70.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |