Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Staal 55.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 64.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Giroux
Staal
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
1
Giroux
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
12
Giroux
Staal
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Giroux
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
56.3% (1,115)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
61.2% (67)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
52.1% (292)
-0.5%
On even strength, Giroux has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
59.5% (580)
58.3% (705)
Away
57.3% (641)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
56.6%
54.5%
P2
58.0%
58.2%
P3
60.8%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |