Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Staal 54.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 82.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 56.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 63.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giroux
Staal
Last 5: Giroux 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Giroux
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
57.0% (1,017)
+2.6%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
57.7% (26)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
45.1% (286)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
65.7% (461)
54.3% (667)
Away
57.7% (515)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
60.7%
56.2%
P2
63.7%
57.0%
P3
60.2%
49.7%
OT
46.2%
68.4%
Final 5 min
63.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |