Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 129 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 191-153 in 344 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 54.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
153
-
191
(344 meetings)
153
191
Giroux
Staal
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
69
54
Giroux
Staal
123 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
44
85
Giroux
Staal
129 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
40
52
Giroux
Staal
92 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
55.9% (14,620)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
62.7% (1,745)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
48.0% (2,896)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
59.2% (10,252)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
57.5%
55.2%
P2
56.2%
55.9%
P3
57.3%
54.9%
OT
51.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
58.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |