Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Staal 54.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 92.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 81.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 70.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Giroux
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Giroux
Staal
Last 9: Giroux 7-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
2
Giroux
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
56.1% (955)
+4.2%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
66.9% (142)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
43.0% (242)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Giroux
Staal
Home
65.9% (337)
55.4% (663)
Away
59.1% (318)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Giroux
Staal
P1
62.1%
55.1%
P2
64.5%
54.7%
P3
60.9%
53.9%
OT
70.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |