Claude Giroux vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 62.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 69.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Giroux
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Giroux
MacKinnon
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Giroux
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Giroux
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
45.5% (1,190)
+10.0%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
56.4% (94)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
40.0% (30)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKinnon
Home
59.0% (576)
47.8% (670)
Away
56.9% (576)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Giroux
MacKinnon
P1
57.0%
45.3%
P2
58.1%
48.5%
P3
58.9%
45.0%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |