Claude Giroux vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 40-30 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 90.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 89.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Giroux
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
30
(70 meetings)
40
30
Giroux
MacKinnon
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
13
8
Giroux
MacKinnon
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
11
7
Giroux
MacKinnon
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
16
15
Giroux
MacKinnon
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
46.1% (11,218)
+9.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
53.3% (1,412)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
42.8% (502)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKinnon
Home
59.2% (10,252)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Giroux
MacKinnon
P1
57.5%
47.4%
P2
56.2%
46.6%
P3
57.3%
46.1%
OT
51.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |