Claude Giroux vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 71.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Giroux
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Giroux
MacKinnon
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Giroux
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
49.2% (1,266)
+10.4%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
54.9% (193)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
49.1% (55)
+12.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKinnon
Home
65.7% (461)
50.9% (740)
Away
57.7% (515)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Giroux
MacKinnon
P1
60.7%
50.9%
P2
63.7%
51.8%
P3
60.2%
47.1%
OT
46.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
63.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |