Claude Giroux vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 73.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Giroux
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Giroux
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Giroux
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
50.0% (992)
+10.3%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
64.9% (148)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
34.4% (32)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Giroux
MacKinnon
Home
65.9% (337)
53.3% (591)
Away
59.1% (318)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Giroux
MacKinnon
P1
62.1%
49.9%
P2
64.5%
53.2%
P3
60.9%
50.8%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |