Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Paul 50.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 67.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 80.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Giroux
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
Paul
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Giroux
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
53.0% (644)
+4.7%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
37.5% (24)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
42.9% (177)
+22.7%
On power play, Giroux has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Giroux shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Giroux
Paul
Home
62.5% (675)
52.5% (516)
Away
57.5% (541)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Giroux
Paul
P1
60.6%
47.6%
P2
59.8%
48.4%
P3
60.9%
54.5%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
64.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |