Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Paul 53.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 73.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Giroux
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Giroux
Paul
Last 10: Giroux 0-10 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
5
Giroux
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Giroux
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Giroux
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
53.1% (710)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
57.3% (199)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
58.0% (69)
+0.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Giroux
Paul
Home
59.0% (576)
56.0% (466)
Away
56.9% (576)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Giroux
Paul
P1
57.0%
57.2%
P2
58.1%
54.9%
P3
58.9%
51.5%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |