Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Paul 53.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 51.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 56.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Giroux
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Giroux
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Giroux
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
53.8% (753)
+5.9%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
58.9% (90)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
47.4% (78)
+4.2%
On even strength, Giroux has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Giroux is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Giroux shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Giroux
Paul
Home
59.5% (580)
54.2% (450)
Away
57.3% (641)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Giroux
Paul
P1
56.6%
58.2%
P2
58.0%
50.6%
P3
60.8%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |