Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Paul 52.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 72.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Giroux
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
20
(34 meetings)
14
20
Giroux
Paul
Last 10: Giroux 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Giroux
Paul
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
10
Giroux
Paul
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Giroux
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
52.5% (3,796)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
56.5% (480)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
46.7% (574)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Giroux
Paul
Home
59.2% (10,252)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Giroux
Paul
P1
57.5%
53.9%
P2
56.2%
51.0%
P3
57.3%
52.0%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |